Pemodelan Magicc-Scengen sebagai Acuan Strategis Mitigasi dan Adaptasi Perubahan Iklim Sektor Perikanan dan Kelautan
نویسندگان
چکیده
Kenaikan temperatur udara permukaan global diperkirakan akan meningkatkan hujan dan limpasan. Perubahan jangka panjang dari curah sudah tentu mempengaruhi sumberdaya air sehingga sektor perikanan kelautan sangat terpengaruh. Memahami perubahan iklim di masa yang datang serta dampak dapat ditimbulkannya, khususnya pada Indonesia sebagai salah satu parameter kondisi lingkungan, merupakan bagian strategi mitigasi adaptasi secara dini penting dilakukan dalam rangka mendukung pembangunan berkelanjutan. Magicc-Scengen versi 5.3 adalah model banyak digunakan. Magicc digunakan proyeksi paras laut, sedangkan Scengen ditujukan untuk menghasilkan skenario regional dengan resolusi 2.5°×2.5° lintang bujur. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui tingkat (Model sirkulasi UKHADCM3 UKHADGEM) A1-BAIM B2-MES. Berdasarkan simulasi didapatkan bahwa tahun 2100, meningkat 2,5oC (B2-MES) hingga mencapai 3oC (A1-BAIM). Sedangkan wilayah terlihat maksimum terjadi A1BAIM, yakni sebesar 2,12oC tersebar sumatera kalimantan. B2MES 1,88oC. Hasil peningkatan 25,4 26,2% periode Maret-April-Mei (MAM). Skenario A1BAIM diperoleh pola tertinggi umumnya MAM (untuk 2050 2100), bervariasi, dimana Desember-Januari-Februari (DJF), namun 2100 MAM.
منابع مشابه
Yang Dan
Yang Dan Howard Hughes Medical Institute and the University of California, Berkeley Yang Dan is a Paul Licht Distinguished Professor in Biology and an Investigator of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute at the University of California, Berkeley. She grew up in Beijing and studied physics as an undergraduate student at Peking University. She conducted her PhD research in the lab of Mu-ming Poo a...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Jurnal sumberdaya akuatik Indopasifik
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2550-0929', '2550-1232']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.46252/jsai-fpik-unipa.2023.vol.7.no.3.315